This will be short and sweet: Kamela Harris is America's choice via popular vote(and likely by double digits), but that doesn't mean she's won (yet). The Electoral College, hailed as the rural savior, or the Republican Welfare office, depending on who you ask, is harder to convince.
However, when
A. The popular vote is this highly favored.
B. Kamela has had a meteoric rise.
C.Trump has held steady , despite several events that couold have boosted him.
D. Favorbilty polls trounce Trump.
E.the conservatives, even the "moderate" ones like the WSJ and the "other" Cnn, aren't posting polls, and Fox News is deliberately posting out dated reference points.
The only 2 reasons trump is still in the race:
He's a master mud slinger and lier.
He has a penis and she doesn't.
It's clear Kamela's ahead, and only an EC broblock can stop her.
References:
538 pretty much has the only aggregate relatively neutral favorability poll result, and it's held to be the gold standard. (Most other sites have extreme biases or cherry pick) Kamela is TROUNCING trump in favorability, and is pulling ahead in the polls toward that magic number called "margin of error:."
The Guardian And BBC, while also being main stream media and sharing the slant that media has, agree.
Even aljazeera, who's best interests (as in their SURVIVAL in my opinion) lie in Trump winning, by a LONG SHOT, is more optimistic about Harris.
Conservative Fox News never started tracking approval OR poll ratings for Harris after Biden dropped out, because well, A relatively even contest is fine, getting your candidate trounced isn't. Fox news clearly understands this as is they the only track Biden's favorability poll numbers(a self made lame duck).
They know a loser when they see one, and Biden and Trump are peas in that pod. Old news, and should stay that way.
And not surprisingly, all the other conservative sites that discuss polls, have very small samples, and extra ordinary cherry picking. You can blame that on the mainstream media bias if you want, but truth be told, adfontes (and allsides) clearly shows there's not a lot of reliable conservative sites as there are liberal ones. I used the 40 out of 70 facts over opinions rating, which does NOT include Fox News or CNN.
World news today, Christian news network and the Wall Street Journal are as good as it gets, and none of them show polls. This is telling.
But WSJ does have an article saying Kamela's rise is definitely something to be considered.
https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/kamala-harris-election-2024-fd6ca18b?mod=election2024<---paywall, but necessary to prove the point, and the free title is making that point)
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/
https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model}
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/ng-interactive/2024/aug/23/presidential-polls-kamala-harris-donald-trump-election
https://www.aljazeera.com/us-election-2024
https://www.foxnews.com/official-polls
https://adfontesmedia.com/interactive-media-bias-chart/
Isn't trump so hated, the opponent is guaranteed a win?
He was almost shot twice.
Unfortunately no.
The main issue here is that this election was deliberately "rigged", mostly by people who have money, to be batshit crazy bullshit.
Kamela shouldn't even be in this horse race. She has no military experience (not abnormal anymore,but was until recently.) She needs a governorship or Cabinet position under her belt, and a house term to be properly qualified. Minimum at least one or the other, and some more time in the Senate. Hell to be frank, she shouldn't even be Vice President by rights! And without Trump she wouldn't be.
She literally has been a Short term Senator and Short term VP. Since Carter, Only Reagan and Trump would be objectively more under qualified then her if elected. (ironically both republicans)
*side note to be fair, Bill Clinton was also somewhat under qualified, but no where NEAR Reagan or Trump, and probably slightly ahead or tied with Harris with a 12 year tenure as a Governor, and was also an Attorney General.
In short:
!!!!*Kamela Harris is -one- of the LEAST qualified candidates in RECENT US HISTORY*!!!!
But as woefully under-qualified as she is, Trump, my god!
Let's just go over why his chances should have been the same as any random non politician, since he put his hat in the ring again, and ANY ONE OF THESE should have ended him. IF Kamela was a man, this would be Game over Coyote (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T1eb3f9H0DU)
1. The presidency was his FIRST time in the public sector period. no military, no offices, no customer service, no law, no retail, just mismanaging business and having a TV show.
2. He got impeached, No president that has gotten impeached has been re-elected. EVER. *(To be fair, Clinton wasn't eligible to run)
3. He got impeached twice, and it was fairly clear he was going to be removed, but since everyone thought his goose was cooked, they let the fucker slide. This should have ended any other politicians career.
4. He lost a reelection. With the exception of Cleveland, NO ONE comes back from that. Cleveland also won the popular vote and narrowly lost the EC. Trump by no means lost the EC narrowly, even IF HE WON CALIFORNIA, it would not have changed the outcome in the least.
5. Jan 6th
6. Arlington
7. The Ohio pets comment(which may actually cost him Ohio)
A. The ROC is now basically against him, and he's put DeWine in a corner, forcing him to reprimand him. Ohio has also been cost plenty of tax dollars fixing Trump's mouthiness. This is highly uacceeptable, and I hooped Ohio gives him a much deserved slap in the face.
B. There is a forgotten law on the books (https://www.newsweek.com/donald-trump-jd-vance-springfield-haitians-eating-dogs-cats-eating-court-criminal-charges-1959217), which I need to use on some people, that allows you to sue someone for criminal time. Trump has been sued under this law, and is expected to receive an arrest warrant this week for gross public disorder, meanacing, and something akin to a supercharged version of inciting a riot (gross public safety hazard maybe?)
8. 30+ felony convictions and more coming.
9. Clear and utter contempt for, Biblical, Constitutional and established law.
10. "Grab them by the pussy."
11. Backstabbing the LGBT community after wooing them in 2026 (this is a signification reason, possibly THE reason,he lost in 2020).
But he still holds sway, because some people are just that afraid of a woman! And most conservatives that are un or under educated will cut off their noses to spite their faces. From plain out ignoring all mainstream media(because it;s liberal controlled, they're saying it's 100% lies)
AGN discord chat appears to be a good example of this toxic and self defeating conservationism. Anything to "Own the libs" and paint anyone that think Trump's a fucking fool as having "Trump Derangement Syndrome", which is about as real as Santa Claus marrying Easter Bunny in Times Sqaure with Mother Nature as the Priest!
But they are hardly alone in this (https://thehill.com/blogs/pundits-blog/the-administration/310054-america-is-held-hostage-by-flyover-states/): The Midwest and South in particular continuously vote to shoot themselves in the foot over issues that barely affect them, just to piss of the "liberal" coasts and are 10-20 years behind the eight ball, and like it that way. This story is old, but it's still true.
People don't care that Trump is an utter failure at the Diplomatic side of the Presidency. His policies are bad enough, but not totally unsurvivable, at least not for 2016-2020. His attitude, leadership, fucking ridiculous legal challenges and general tone he set's for public behavior on the other hand, is DANGEROUS to the continued existence to this country, and like Springfield, often directly destroys the foundations of civilized society.